2011 Tony Award Predictions

Here are my Tony Award predictions for this year's awards which will be announced on the June 12 broadcast:

Play: War Horse
Musical: Book of Mormon
Play Revival: The Normal Heart
Musical Revival: Anything Goes

Actor, Play: Mark Rylance, Jerusalem
Actress, Play: Frances McDormand, Good People
Actor, Musical: Josh Gad, Book of Mormon
Actress, Musical: Sutton Foster, Anything Goes
Featured Actor, Play: John Benjamin Hickey, The Normal Heart
Featured Actress, Play: Ellen Barkin, The Normal Heart
Featured Actor, Musical: John Laroquette, How To Succeed
Featured Actress, Musical: Laura Benanti, Women On The Verge

Book of a Musical: Book of Mormon
Score: Book of Mormon
Orchestrations: Book of Mormon
Choreogrpahy: Anything Goes

Director, Play: The Normal Heart
Director, Musical: Book of Mormon

Scenic Design, Play: War Horse
Scenic Design, Musical: Book of Mormon
Costume Design, Play: Importance of Being Earnest
Costume Design, Musical: Priscilla, Queen of the Desert
Lighting, Play: War Horse
Lighting, Musical: Book of Mormon
Sound, Play: War Horse
Sound, Musical: Book of Mormon

If I were choosing the winners, the choices above would differ largely in that I would prefer The Scottsboro Boys to win for Best Musical, Director, Score, Orchestrations, Choreography, Sound and Lighting. But I do not think Scottsboro will win any of those awards, although it has a chance of winning for Score over the Mormon juggernaut. I would probably also give the Best Actor, Play award to Joe Montello for The Normal Heart, although all of the actors in that extremely strong and competitive category deserve to be winners this year. Otherwise, my personal choices largely mirror the above predictions.